Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Alessandro Giannessi		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.2	1.7
	2.1	1.67
	2.16	1.64	Watch
	2.06	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.81)	1.67 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandro Giannessi
43.6%

Miguel Damas
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Giannessi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandro Giannessi's form might have worsened.

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Damas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandro Giannessi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandro Giannessi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Damas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Alessandro Giannessi - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Giannessi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Damas will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damas: 46.4% – 99%.

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Preview

Giannessi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Damas is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Giannessi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Damas to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Giannessi
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
17.10.23	Lloyd Harris - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
20.11.23	Miguel Damas - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Michael Geerts - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.11.23	Javier Barranco Cosano - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
10.11.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW

Alessandro Giannessi - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide