Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Carlos Lopez Montagud		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.36
	2.90	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.94)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Lopez Montagud
32.8%

Miguel Damas
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Lopez Montagud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Lopez Montagud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 652. Damas is ranked ATP: 411.

Lopez Montagud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Damas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Damas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Damas is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lopez Montagud won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Carles Rojas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Pedro Rodenas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Rodenas P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLL?
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
15.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Miguel Damas - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Miguel Damas - Alejandro Juan Mano	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Miguel Damas - Adrien Burdet	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.11.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	0:2
20.10.23	Miguel Damas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	2:0
ITF Tournaments
26.09.21	Miguel Damas - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2
05.08.21	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	2:0

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide