Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Michael Geerts		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.41	1.54
	2.41	1.55
	2.38	1.53
	2.41	1.52	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.83)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Geerts
39.1%

Miguel Damas
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michael Geerts's form might have worsened.

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Damas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Geerts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Damas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Geerts is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Damas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Damas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Damas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Damas to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
18.11.23	Hynek Barton - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
17.11.23	Michael Geerts - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
16.11.23	Michael Geerts - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
ATP Metz
04.11.23	Michael Geerts - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Michael Geerts - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
12.11.23	Javier Barranco Cosano - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
10.11.23	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Miguel Damas - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	John Echeverria - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWWW

Michael Geerts - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide