Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FRANCAVILLA (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday


	Alex Barrena		Andrea Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.44
	2.59	1.46
	2.75	1.4
	2.76	1.41	Watch
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.21)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
35.1%

Andrea Arnaboldi
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Barrena's form might have worsened.

Andrea Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Barrena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alex Barrena - Andrea Arnaboldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrena is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaboldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
07.05.23	Christian Langmo - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Alex Barrena - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Alex Barrena - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Alex Barrena - Julian Gimenez	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Alex Barrena - Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Andrea Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
07.05.23	Andrea Arnaboldi - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Evan Zhu - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
18.04.23	Andrea Arnaboldi - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
27.03.23	Andrea Arnaboldi - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
26.03.23	Ugo Blanchet - Andrea Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLW

Alex Barrena - Andrea Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide