Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Alex Barrena		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.61	2.36
	1.63	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.53)	2.2 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
57.5%

Christoph Negritu
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Alex Barrena - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 229. Negritu is ranked ATP: 272.

Barrena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Negritu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Alex Barrena - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Alex Barrena	Barrena A. retired ✺
29.07.25	Jonas Kucera - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 L?WLL
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
22.08.25	Alexander Ritschard - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Stefan Popovic - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Maximilian Marterer - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.03.21	Alex Barrena - Christoph Negritu	1:2

Alex Barrena - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide