Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)	2.15 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
56.6%

Christoph Negritu
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Negritu will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 354. Negritu is ranked ATP: 267.

Schwaerzler has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Negritu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Negritu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Facundo Juarez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Dali Blanch - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Jurij Rodionov - Christoph Negritu	Canceled ✺
21.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LW?LL

Joel Schwaerzler - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide