Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MEDELLIN (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday


	Alex Barrena		Gonzalo Lama

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.25
	1.6	2.39
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)	2.3 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
59.2%

Gonzalo Lama
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Barrena's performance.

Gonzalo Lama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Lama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Barrena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Lama than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Lama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Lama Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Barrena will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barrena will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Alex Barrena - Juan Ignacio Londero	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Alex Barrena - Nicolas Buitrago	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.06.23	Alex Barrena - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
01.06.23	Oliver Crawford - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
31.05.23	Alex Barrena - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- Gonzalo Lama
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Gonzalo Lama - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
19.06.23	Gonzalo Lama - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Gonzalo Lama - Oleg Prihodko	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Manuel Guinard - Gonzalo Lama	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.06.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Lama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide