Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LYON (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Manuel Guinard		Gonzalo Lama

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.9
	1.37	3
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)	2.96 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
68.6%

Gonzalo Lama
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manuel Guinard's performance.

Gonzalo Lama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Lama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manuel Guinard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Lama than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Lama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Guinard is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lama is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guinard is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Pavel Nejedly - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Liam Gavrielides - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
ATP Lyon
20.05.23	Lloyd Harris - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Gerard Campana Lee - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Gonzalo Lama
ITF Tournaments
07.06.23	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
02.06.23	Gonzalo Lama - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
01.06.23	Gonzalo Lama - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Gonzalo Lama - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
24.05.23	Ignacio Buse - Gonzalo Lama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Manuel Guinard - Gonzalo Lama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide