Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Barrena		Maxime Chazal

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.44	2.6
	1.54	2.57
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)	2.57 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
63.7%

Maxime Chazal
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Barrena's performance.

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxime Chazal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Alex Barrena - Maxime Chazal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 235. Chazal is ranked ATP: 429.

Barrena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chazal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chazal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrena might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Zdenek Kolar - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Nico Hipfl - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Ognjen Milic - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL
- Maxime Chazal
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Filip Malis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWW

Alex Barrena - Maxime Chazal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide