Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Alex Barrena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.90	1.80
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	2.04	1.87
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.99	1.81
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
49.3%

Alex Barrena
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 240. Barrena is ranked ATP: 233.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bailly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Fadi Bidan	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Mac Visser	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWW
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Alex Barrena - Lukas Neumayer	Neumayer L. Retired ✺
13.08.26	Alex Barrena - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Alex Barrena - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Henri Squire - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.06.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena	0:2

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide