Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.55	2.38
	1.68	2.39
	1.53	2.36	Watch
	1.65	2.30
	1.38	2.81	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.77)	2.37 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
60.2%

Alex Barrena
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's performance.

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Barrena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Barrena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reis Da Silva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Reis Da Silva (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Reis Da Silva (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 282. Barrena is ranked ATP: 235.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Alex Molcan - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Tom Gentzsch - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWLL
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Zdenek Kolar - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Nico Hipfl - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Ognjen Milic - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena	2:1
02.05.25	Alex Barrena - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1
03.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena	Barrena A. retired
20.06.22	Alex Barrena - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2

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