Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Alex Bolt		Marc Polmans

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Alex Bolt
70%

Marc Polmans
30%

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

72%

28%

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Marc Polmans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Bolt is ranked ATP: 171. Polmans is ranked ATP: 396.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Bolt is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Alex Bolt - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Jason Kubler - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	James McCabe - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Marc Polmans - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Marc Polmans - Matt Hulme	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Marc Polmans - Alex Bolt	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.21	Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans	1:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
01.07.20	Marc Polmans - Alex Bolt	2:1
ATP Challenger
03.01.18	Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans	2:0

Alex Bolt - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide