Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	James McCabe		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.42
	1.41	2.74	Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.55	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)	2.5 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
62.5%

Marc Polmans
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marc Polmans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marc Polmans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

James McCabe - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Polmans will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marc Polmans will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 194. Polmans is ranked ATP: 415.

McCabe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polmans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polmans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, McCabe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

James McCabe - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Marc Polmans - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	James McCabe - Blaise Bicknell	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	James McCabe - Omar Jasika	Canceled ✺
21.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	James McCabe - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	James McCabe - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?LWW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Marc Polmans - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Marc Polmans - Matt Hulme	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Marc Polmans - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.02.23	Marc Polmans - James McCabe	0:2

James McCabe - Marc Polmans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide