Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Jason Kubler		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.53	1.47	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.41)	1.63 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
42.8%

Alex Bolt
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jason Kubler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jason Kubler - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kubler will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bolt will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kubler is ranked ATP: 190. Bolt is ranked ATP: 188.

Kubler has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bolt is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bolt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Bolt will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kubler won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.75%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Jason Kubler - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Jason Kubler - Pavle Marinkov	2:1
17.11.25	Jason Kubler - Li Tu	Canceled ✺
11.11.25	Leo Vithoontien - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Lloyd Harris - Jason Kubler	Kubler J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WW?L?
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Alex Bolt - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Alex Bolt - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	James Duckworth - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.01.18	Jason Kubler - Alex Bolt	2:0
28.10.17	Alex Bolt - Jason Kubler	1:2

Jason Kubler - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide