Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alex De Minaur		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.47	2.91
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.72	Watch
	1.49	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	2.71 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
64.8%

Aslan Karatsev
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	0%	78.1%

Alex De Minaur - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). Karatsev will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 63.8% – 92.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

De Minaur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Minaur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Tokyo
19.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Tokyo
19.10.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Aslan Karatsev - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
25.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Aslan Karatsev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Alex De Minaur - Aslan Karatsev	1:2
ATP Sofia
11.11.20	Alex De Minaur - Aslan Karatsev	2:0

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