Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday


	Alex De Minaur		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2.24	1.73
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2.15	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
44.2%

Jack Draper
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	3.2%	71%

Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). Draper will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10. Draper is ranked ATP: 15.

Recent matches De Minaur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draper is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 4 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Paris
30.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
26.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Alex De Minaur	Cobolli F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLW?
- Jack Draper
ATP Paris
30.10.24	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Jack Draper - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
27.10.24	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
04.09.24	Jack Draper - Alex De Minaur	3:0
ATP Acapulco
01.03.24	Jack Draper - Alex De Minaur	Draper J. retired
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.22	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	3:1

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