Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centre Court (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	14:40	Max, Max
Bulgaria	15:40	Max
Czech Republic	14:40	Max
Finland	15:40	Max
Hungary	14:40	Max
Netherlands	14:40	Max
Norway	14:40	MAX
Romania	15:40	Max
Sweden	14:40	Max


	Alex De Minaur		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	4.75	1.18
	5.25	1.15	Watch
	5.66	1.18
			Watch
	4.5	1.2
	5.99	1.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (2.9)	1.17 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
18.2%

Novak Djokovic
81.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex De Minaur's form might have worsened.

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novak Djokovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novak Djokovic than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novak Djokovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Djokovic will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Djokovic (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Djokovic (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +6.5 Games - De Minaur (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -8.5 Games - Djokovic (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Djokovic (votes: 12 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 11. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 6.

De Minaur is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Djokovic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Djokovic is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.25	Alex De Minaur - August Holmgren	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Cazaux	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
26.06.25	Alex De Minaur - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP London
17.06.25	Alex De Minaur - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
03.07.25	Daniel Evans - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
01.07.25	Alexandre Muller - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Karen Khachanov - Novak Djokovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
06.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
10.07.24	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. walkover
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP United Cup
03.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	2:0
ATP Australian Open
23.01.23	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna
28.10.26	Learner Tien - Alex De Minaur	✺
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Basel
28.10.26	Novak Djokovic - Ugo Humbert	✺

Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic