Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Alex De Minaur		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.06	10
	1.07	8
	1.05	9.2	Watch
	1.07	10.84
			Watch
	1.04	11
	1.06	12.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.13)	10.32 ↑ (7.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
90.7%

August Holmgren
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.6%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Alex De Minaur - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Holmgren will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +8 Games - Holmgren (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 33 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -8.5 Games - De Minaur (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Sets - De Minaur (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): August Holmgren will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Holmgren (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 11. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 192.

Recent performances by De Minaur have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holmgren is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is the undeniable favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Cazaux	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
26.06.25	Alex De Minaur - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP London
17.06.25	Alex De Minaur - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- August Holmgren
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	August Holmgren - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
01.07.25	Quentin Halys - August Holmgren	0:3 ✺
26.06.25	August Holmgren - Yosuke Watanuki	3:2 ✺
25.06.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Giles Hussey - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.4 WWWWW

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