Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Alex Martinez		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
			Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.75	1.43
	3.05	1.44
	2.63	1.43	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.73	1.40	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.19)	1.42 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Martinez
34.2%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Martinez's form might have worsened.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Dylan Hara Friend's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Martinez than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Martinez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Dylan Hara Friend, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alex Martinez - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Martinez is ranked ATP: 351. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 407.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Martinez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hara Friend will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Martinez Tennis
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Alex Martinez - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Alex Martinez - Nitin Kumar Sinha	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Alex Martinez	Martinez A. Retired ✺
26.05.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLW?W
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Justin Boulais - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Charlie Camus - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Karl Poling - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Justin Boulais	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches