Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Alex Michelsen		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.35	3.1
	1.32	3.35	Watch
	1.37	3.33
	1.36	3.29	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.37	Watch
	1.32	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)	3.32 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
71.3%

Harold Mayot
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Alex Michelsen - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 44. Mayot is ranked ATP: 107.

Recent matches Michelsen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mayot is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Paris
30.10.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Paris
26.10.24	Harold Mayot - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Harold Mayot - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Harold Mayot - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Lucas Pouille - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Clement Chidekh - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

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