Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Alex Michelsen		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.86	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.74	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.96)	2.05 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
53.6%

Marcos Giron
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcos Giron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcos Giron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Alex Michelsen - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Giron will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 45. Giron is ranked ATP: 47.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Alex Michelsen - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Tomas Machac - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Alex Michelsen - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Marcos Giron
ATP Antwerp
19.10.24	Marcos Giron - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Marcos Giron - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Marcos Giron - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Marcos Giron - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	David Goffin - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Newport
21.07.24	Alex Michelsen - Marcos Giron	1:2

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