Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LOS CABOS (MEXICO), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: LOS CABOS (MEXICO) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:40	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:40	SportKlub
Bulgaria	01:40	Max Sport 1
Croatia	00:40	SportKlub
Denmark	00:40	TV2 Sport X
Finland	01:40	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Portugal	23:40	Sport TV5
Serbia	00:40	SportKlub
Slovenia	00:40	SportKlub


	Alex Michelsen		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.15	1.79
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
46.1%

Jordan Thompson
53.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alex Michelsen - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Michelsen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jordan Thompson is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jordan Thompson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Jordan Thompson to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Alex De Minaur - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Constant Lestienne - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
08.02.24	Francis Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWL
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Emilio Nava - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.24	Jordan Thompson - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Jordan Thompson - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Daniel Evans - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.02.23	Jordan Thompson - Alex Michelsen	2:0

Alex Michelsen - Jordan Thompson