Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LOS CABOS (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 February 2024, Monday


	Constant Lestienne		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.01	1.43
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.63)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
33.4%

Alex Michelsen
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Constant Lestienne - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lestienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Michelsen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Constant Lestienne - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
12.02.24	Constant Lestienne - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.24	Taro Daniel - Constant Lestienne	Daniel T. retired ✺
ATP Montpellier
01.02.24	Constant Lestienne - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LW?LW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
08.02.24	Francis Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	Tennys Sandgren - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.24	Alexander Zverev - Alex Michelsen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL

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