Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 CALABASAS, CA (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Alex Michelsen		Luke Saville

	1	2
	1.22	3.7
	1.24	3.7
	1.27	3.62
	1.25	3.75
	1.26	3.48	Watch
	1.23	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.38)	3.64 ↑ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
74.5%

Luke Saville
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luke Saville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Alex Michelsen - Luke Saville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Saville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Saville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Colin Markes	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Kyle Kang	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Hudson Rivera Rivera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW
- Luke Saville
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Luke Saville - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Kyle Kang - Luke Saville	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Luke Saville - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Thomas John Fancutt - Luke Saville	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Luke Saville - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW

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