Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROME US (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday


	Alex Michelsen		Mats Moraing

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.45
	1.53	2.55
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.58	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)	2.35 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
60.3%

Mats Moraing
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mats Moraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Moraing than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Alex Michelsen - Mats Moraing Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moraing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moraing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michelsen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
20.02.23	Dominik Koepfer - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
02.02.23	Zachary Svajda - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
31.01.23	Alex Michelsen - Jack Sock	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.01.23	Lucas Renard - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Alex Michelsen - Chad Kissell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWW
- Mats Moraing
ATP Challenger
20.02.23	Christian Harrison - Mats Moraing	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Mats Moraing - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Mats Moraing - Antoine Bellier	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Vasek Pospisil - Mats Moraing	0:2 ✺
07.02.23	Liam Broady - Mats Moraing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWL

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