Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY 2 (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Zachary Svajda		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.68	1.51
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.47	1.51	Watch
	2.25	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
38%

Alex Michelsen
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zachary Svajda's form might have worsened.

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Zachary Svajda - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Svajda will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Michelsen will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Michelsen to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Svajda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
15.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Ethan Quinn	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Zachary Svajda - Francisco Cerundolo	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Marc Polmans - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
15.09.23	Guido Andreozzi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Maxime Janvier - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alex Michelsen	3:1 ✺
29.08.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.02.23	Zachary Svajda - Alex Michelsen	2:0

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