Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland (New Zealand), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday


	Alex Michelsen		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
58.4%

Nishesh Basavareddy
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Nishesh Basavareddy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	0%	47.6%

Alex Michelsen - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Basavareddy will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 41. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 133.

Recent matches Michelsen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basavareddy is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basavareddy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michelsen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
01.01.25	Jordan Thompson - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
29.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
21.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
03.01.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
31.12.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
18.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alex Michelsen	0:2
13.10.23	Alex Michelsen - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2

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