Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUCKLAND (NEW ZEALAND), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Alex Michelsen		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.48	2.6
	1.51	2.71
	1.51	2.71
	1.5	2.6
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	2.67 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
64.3%

Nuno Borges
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Alex Michelsen - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michelsen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Auckland
06.01.24	Jack Loutit - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Alex Michelsen - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Alex Michelsen - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.24	Pavel Kotov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.12.23	Nuno Borges - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Nuno Borges - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Nuno Borges - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
30.11.23	Nuno Borges - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

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