Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BRISBANE (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alex Michelsen		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.96	1.44
	2.97	1.44
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.71)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
32.2%

Ugo Humbert
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Alex Michelsen aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Ugo Humbert aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	0%	87.8%

Alex Michelsen - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.78% – 97.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Michelsen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Humbert is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Humbert will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Humbert to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Brisbane
30.12.23	Alex Michelsen - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Alex Michelsen - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
30.11.23	Luca Van Assche - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
29.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:3 ✺
28.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Hamad Medjedovic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Metz
11.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Fabio Fognini - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Dominic Thiem	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
01.11.23	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL

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