Match Info

Date: 18 June 2021, Friday


	Alex Molcan		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.9
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.87
	1.88	1.97
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.97)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
50.8%

Gianluca Mager
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianluca Mager could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	0%	42.3%

Alex Molcan - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Mager will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mager is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
17.06.21	Alex Molcan - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
16.06.21	Yosuke Watanuki - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
15.06.21	Alex Molcan - David Poljak	2:0 ✺
09.06.21	Alex Molcan - Andrey Kuznetsov	0:2 ✺
08.06.21	Alex Molcan - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
17.06.21	Gianluca Mager - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
16.06.21	Gianluca Mager - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
14.06.21	Gianluca Mager - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.21	Jannik Sinner - Gianluca Mager	3:1 ✺
31.05.21	Gianluca Mager - John Millman	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWL?

Alex Molcan - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide