Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday


	Alex Molcan		Martin Krumich

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.5
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.26	3.75
	1.27	3.58	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.26	3.63	Watch
	1.4	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)	3.46 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
73%

Martin Krumich
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.

Martin Krumich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Krumich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Krumich than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Molcan - Martin Krumich Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Molcan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Molcan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 378. Krumich is ranked ATP: 500.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Krumich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Molcan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Alex Molcan - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Alex Molcan - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Alex Molcan - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Alex Molcan - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Alex Molcan - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Martin Krumich
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Federico Coria - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Martin Krumich - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Martin Krumich - Gregor Ramskogler	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Sebastian Dominko - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

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