Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liberec, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Alex Molcan		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.46	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.67
	1.42	2.79	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)	2.55 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
63.2%

Stefano Travaglia
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Alex Molcan - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Molcan (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 378. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 228.

Molcan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Travaglia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Molcan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Molcan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Alex Molcan - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Alex Molcan - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Alex Molcan - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Alex Molcan - Luca Castagnola	Castagnola L. retired ✺
20.07.25	Alex Molcan - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWL?W
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
05.04.22	Alex Molcan - Stefano Travaglia	2:0

Alex Molcan - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide