Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braunschweig, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday


	Alex Molcan		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.62
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.26	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.84)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
41.1%

Roberto Carballes Baena
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Molcan's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Molcan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alex Molcan - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Carballes Baena (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 480. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 74.

Molcan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carballes Baena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molcan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Saba Purtseladze - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Alex Molcan - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Robert Strombachs - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Alex Molcan - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Alex Barrena - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Valentin Royer - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWL??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Umag
27.07.22	Alex Molcan - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2
ATP Madrid
30.04.22	Alex Molcan - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Alex Molcan - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide