Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Valentin Royer		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.53	2.5
	1.62	2.25
	1.56	2.44
	1.64	2.41
	1.59	2.28
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.56	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	2.4 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
60.3%

Roberto Carballes Baena
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Valentin Royer - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 120. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 63.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Royer could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Valentin Royer - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Valentin Royer - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Valentin Royer - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ???L?

Valentin Royer - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide