Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Alex Rybakov		Jacopo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2.06	1.79
	1.93	1.77	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.09)	1.79 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Rybakov
47.9%

Jacopo Berrettini
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rybakov will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Berrettini (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacopo Berrettini will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rybakov is ranked ATP: 295. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 301.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Rybakov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Christian Langmo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL
- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Mark Lajal - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Jacopo Berrettini - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Jacopo Berrettini - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Jacopo Berrettini - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide