Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Alex Rybakov		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.28	1.34
	3.73	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	2.54	1.51	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (1.84)	1.45 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Rybakov
33.6%

Zachary Svajda
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Rybakov's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Rybakov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alex Rybakov - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Svajda (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Svajda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rybakov is ranked ATP: 314. Svajda is ranked ATP: 148.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Svajda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Rybakov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Trevor Svajda	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Eli Stephenson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Samir Banerjee	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Alan Magadan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW
- Zachary Svajda
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW

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