Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	Zachary Svajda		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	1.19	4.82	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)	3.52 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
71.9%

Yosuke Watanuki
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zachary Svajda's performance.

Yosuke Watanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yosuke Watanuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zachary Svajda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yosuke Watanuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 153. Watanuki is ranked ATP: 162.

Svajda is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Watanuki is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Svajda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Svajda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Svajda will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Svajda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Washington
20.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Brandon Holt - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Washington
20.07.25	Jake Fellows - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Yuta Shimizu	Shimizu Y. walkover ✺
15.07.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Karue Sell	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Oscar Weightman - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0

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