Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Final

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Newport 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovakia	18:45	Arena sport 2


	Zachary Svajda		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	2.04	1.83
			Watch
			Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.79)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
49.1%

Adrian Mannarino
50.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Zachary Svajda - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Svajda (votes: 3 - 30%). Mannarino (votes: 7 - 70%).

Users Predictions: Adrian Mannarino will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 229. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 123.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Svajda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Brandon Holt - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Marton Fucsovics - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Bernard Tomic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Tyler Zink - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Adrian Mannarino - Zachary Svajda	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	✺

Zachary Svajda - Adrian Mannarino