Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROANNE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday


	Alexandar Lazarov		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.62	1.44
	2.6	1.44
	2.7	1.47
	2.72	1.47
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.29)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandar Lazarov
35.5%

Hugo Gaston
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandar Lazarov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandar Lazarov's form might have worsened.

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandar Lazarov than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandar Lazarov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alexandar Lazarov - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lazarov will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lazarov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gaston is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaston will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandar Lazarov
ATP Challenger
07.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Elliot Benchetrit	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Jason Kubler - Alexandar Lazarov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Paris
29.10.22	Hugo Gaston - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
08.10.22	Hugo Gaston - Vasek Pospisil	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Norbert Gombos - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
06.10.22	Valentin Royer - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 L?LWW

Alexandar Lazarov - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide