Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday


	Hugo Gaston		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.5	2.4
	1.55	2.4
	1.48	2.36
	1.52	2.53
	1.53	2.38
	1.52	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)	2.41 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
61.4%

Matteo Arnaldi
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Hugo Gaston - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaston will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
08.10.22	Hugo Gaston - Vasek Pospisil	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Norbert Gombos - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
06.10.22	Valentin Royer - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Henri Laaksonen - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Gregoire Barrere - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
08.10.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
06.10.22	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
04.10.22	Ulises Blanch - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
22.09.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL

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