Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Alexander Bublik		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	1.99	1.9
	1.92	1.92	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.89	Watch
	1.89	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.23)	1.89 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
49.6%

Flavio Cobolli
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Alexander Bublik - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Cobolli will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 26. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 32.

Two players are playing changeable.

Bublik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Alexander Bublik - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Alexander Bublik - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LW?LL
- Flavio Cobolli
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Flavio Cobolli - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
29.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - Zizou Bergs	3:1 ✺
27.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - James Duckworth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW

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