Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Juncheng Shang		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.39	1.56
	2.59	1.50	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.45	1.58	Watch
	2.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.51)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
39.1%

Alexander Bublik
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Bublik will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shang (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bublik (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Bublik (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Shang (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Shang (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Bublik (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 406. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shang won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Juncheng Shang - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Hong Kong
08.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
01.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
22.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	3:2
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Alexander Bublik - Juncheng Shang	2:0

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