Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.04	1.42
	2.95	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.81	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.22)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
32.7%

Alexander Bublik
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Federico Agustin Gomez - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gomez will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Bublik will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 174. Bublik is ranked ATP: 27.

Gomez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bublik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bublik is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Vadym Ursu - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	James McCabe - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW
- Alexander Bublik
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Alexander Bublik - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
14.09.24	Alexander Bublik - Elmer Moeller	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Alexander Bublik - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
27.07.24	Alexander Bublik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL

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