Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Alexander Bublik		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.48	2.82
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
66.1%

Illya Marchenko
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Alexander Bublik - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marchenko is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Astana
25.09.21	Soon Woo Kwon - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
24.09.21	Carlos Taberner - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
23.09.21	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.21	Jack Sock - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
31.08.21	Yannick Hanfmann - Alexander Bublik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Moscow
17.10.21	Illya Marchenko - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
16.10.21	Radu Albot - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
30.09.21	John Millman - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
29.09.21	Andreas Seppi - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
27.09.21	Illya Marchenko - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

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