Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	John Millman		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.54	2.48	Watch
	1.52	2.44
	1.57	2.58
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.63)	2.54 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Millman
62.5%

Illya Marchenko
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Millman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Millman than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

John Millman - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Millman will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Marchenko will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millman: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Millman
ATP Sofia
28.09.21	John Millman - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
24.09.21	James Duckworth - John Millman	2:0 ✺
22.09.21	Jaume Munar - John Millman	1:2 ✺
21.09.21	Dmitry Popko - John Millman	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Henri Laaksonen - John Millman	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Sofia
29.09.21	Andreas Seppi - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
27.09.21	Illya Marchenko - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Marco Cecchinato - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
19.09.21	Denis Yevseyev - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.21	Quentin Halys - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLL

John Millman - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide