The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alexander Bublik 36.6%
Kei Nishikori 63.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.
Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kei Nishikori's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kei Nishikori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.8%
0%
24.2%
Alexander Bublik - Kei Nishikori Predictions
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 47 - 75.8%). Nishikori will win (votes: 15 - 24.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 65.1% – 86.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Bublik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nishikori is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Nishikori will have a small advantage in this match.
Watch
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