Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - Final

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Alexander Bublik		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
			Watch
	2.47	1.61
			Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.27)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
40.3%

Daniil Medvedev
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.1%	0%	62.9%

Alexander Bublik - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). Medvedev will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Medvedev (votes: 13 - 72.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Medvedev (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 5 - 25%). Medvedev (votes: 15 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 45. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 0.

Now, both players are in good form.

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Medvedev might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1:15. (average 0.1:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Halle
21.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Halle
21.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Quentin Halys - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Daniel Altmaier - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Toronto
10.08.21	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:1
ATP Olympic Games
23.07.21	Alexander Bublik - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.21	Alexander Bublik - Daniil Medvedev	0:3
ATP St Petersburg
20.09.16	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Challenger
16.03.16	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0

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