Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Alexander Donski		Dominik Kellovsky

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.43	2.77
	1.12	5.72	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.88	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.88)	2.86 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
65.7%

Dominik Kellovsky
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Donski's performance.

Dominik Kellovsky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominik Kellovsky might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Donski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominik Kellovsky than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominik Kellovsky could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Donski - Dominik Kellovsky Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Donski (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Donski (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 680. Kellovsky is ranked ATP: 548.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Timofey Skatov - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Alexander Donski - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLW
- Dominik Kellovsky
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Matyas Cerny - Dominik Kellovsky	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Dominik Kellovsky - Attila Boros	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Dominik Kellovsky - Kristjan Tamm	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Dominik Kellovsky - Viacheslav Ovchinnikov	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Dominik Kellovsky - Giammarco Gandolfi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW

Alexander Donski - Dominik Kellovsky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide