Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Neil Oberleitner		Alexander Donski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.9
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.74	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
	1.61	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)	2.69 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neil Oberleitner
65.3%

Alexander Donski
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neil Oberleitner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neil Oberleitner's performance.

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Donski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neil Oberleitner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Donski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oberleitner (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Oberleitner (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Neil Oberleitner will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oberleitner (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Preview

Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 422. Donski is ranked ATP: 685.

In recent matches, Oberleitner has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Donski is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Donski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oberleitner will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oberleitner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Neil Oberleitner - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
19.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Anton Matusevich - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Dusan Obradovic - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW
- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Alexander Donski - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Alexander Donski - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Cezar Cretu - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.05.24	Alexander Donski - Neil Oberleitner	0:2

Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide