Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Centurion 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Alexander Donski		Tuncay Duran

	1	2
	2.10	1.65
	2.07	1.68
	2.20	1.72
	2.05	1.68	Watch
	2.10	1.67
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.65)	1.68 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
44.4%

Tuncay Duran
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.

Tuncay Duran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tuncay Duran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Donski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuncay Duran than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tuncay Duran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alexander Donski - Tuncay Duran Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Duran will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 687. Duran is ranked ATP: 645.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Alexander Donski - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Akira Santillan - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Alexander Donski - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Alexander Donski - Dillon Beckles	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Alexander Donski - Stefan Vujic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWL
- Tuncay Duran
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Alec Beckley - Tuncay Duran	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Tuncay Duran - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Tuncay Duran - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Tuncay Duran - Stefan Vujic	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Tuncay Duran - Orel Kimhi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 W?WWL

Alexander Donski - Tuncay Duran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide